24 Jul · 08:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
BK
🇺🇦Bohdan Kohut
ELO 1661
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kohut
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1657
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kohut
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H45-41
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.