24 Jul · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇺🇦Tomas Kanka
ELO 1504
FormWWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kolman
LK
🇺🇦Leon Kolman
ELO 1577
FormLWLLL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Kolman
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H17-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-8)