24 Jul · 06:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ND
🇺🇦Nazar Danyliuk
ELO 1840
FormWWLWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Danyliuk
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1657
FormLLLWL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Danyliuk
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+183
H2H122-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+183)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (122-50)