24 Jul · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SH
🇺🇦Stepan Hryhorenko
ELO 1487
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Karpenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1559
FormLLWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Karpenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)