24 Jul · 08:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AZ
🇺🇦Andrii Zeniuk
ELO 1758
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Molochko
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1779
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zeniuk🌟Zeniuk covers set handicap as underdog 63% (43)
Fair odds · Molochko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.