24 Jul · 07:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chuhai
ELO 1742
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chuhai
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1734
FormLWWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Chuhai
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H40-82
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.