24 Jul · 07:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
GK
🇺🇦Gregory Kuzmenko
ELO 1524
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Slozka
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Slozka
ELO 1538
FormLLWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Slozka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H31-54
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.