24 Jul · 08:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1523
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vorsuliak
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1559
FormWLWLL
46%
54%
🌟Vorsuliak stays under total as favourite 63% (84)
Fair odds · Vorsuliak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
Elo Gap+36
H2H8-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.