24 Jul · 07:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kiilo
ELO 1432
FormLLWLW
96%Win chancemodel fair 1.04Ponomarenko
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Ponomarenko
ELO 2167
FormWWWWL
4%
96%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 96% · 1.04vsMarket 92% · 1.09· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 84%Total ~65 pts
0-3
55%
1-3
28%
2-3
12%
3-2
2%
3-1
1%
Elo Gap+735
H2H27-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+735)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-1)