24 Jul · 07:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ND
🇺🇦Nazar Danyliuk
ELO 1840
FormWWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Danyliuk
VH
🇺🇦Vadym Hryban
ELO 1782
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Danyliuk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H41-63
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)