24 Jul · 07:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇺🇦Myroslav Loboda
ELO 1608
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Loboda
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1559
FormWLWLL
55%
45%
🌟Vorsuliak covers set handicap as underdog 71% (80)
Fair odds · Loboda
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H53-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (53-32)