24 Jul · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Balabei
ELO 1754
FormWWLWW
85%Win chancemodel fair 1.18Ponomarenko
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Ponomarenko
ELO 2167
FormWWWWL
15%
85%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 85% · 1.18vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 72%Total ~66 pts
0-3
45%
1-3
27%
2-3
13%
3-2
7%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+413
H2H136-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+413)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (136-11)