24 Jul · 06:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Hovorunets
ELO 1446
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Novakov
DN
🇺🇦Daniil Novakov
ELO 1492
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Novakov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H2-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)