24 Jul · 11:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1523
FormWLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kuzmenko
GK
🇺🇦Gregory Kuzmenko
ELO 1524
FormLWLLW
50%
50%
🌟Kuzmenko stays under total as favourite 67% (46)
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H20-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.