24 Jul · 07:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1562
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Troyan
AL
🇺🇦Arsenii Lobanov
ELO 1547
FormWWWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 32% · 3.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.