24 Jul · 06:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AZ
🇺🇦Andrii Zeniuk
ELO 1758
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hryban
VH
🇺🇦Vadym Hryban
ELO 1782
FormLLLLW
47%
53%
🌟Zeniuk covers set handicap as underdog 63% (43)
Fair odds · Hryban
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.