24 Jul · 13:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1559
FormWLLWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Lushchyk
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1734
FormLWWLL
32%
68%
🌟Lushchyk stays under total as favourite 63% (78)
Fair odds · Lushchyk
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+175
H2H12-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+175)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-4)