24 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AK
🇺🇦Artem Kasyanov
ELO 1744
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kasyanov
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1734
FormLWWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kasyanov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H58-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.