24 Jul · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1428
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Novakov
DN
🇺🇦Daniil Novakov
ELO 1492
FormWLWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Novakov
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)