24 Jul · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Hovorunets
ELO 1446
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hovorunets
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1401
FormLLLLW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stukalov🌟Hovorunets rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (44)
Fair odds · Hovorunets
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H19-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-5)