24 Jul · 10:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Balabei
ELO 1754
FormWWLWW
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Balabei
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kiilo
ELO 1432
FormLLWLW
80%
20%
Fair odds · Balabei
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~73 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
28%
3-2
18%
2-3
8%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+322
H2H50-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+322)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (50-6)