24 Jul · 12:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1523
FormWLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Loboda
ML
🇺🇦Myroslav Loboda
ELO 1608
FormLWLWW
41%
59%
🌟Loboda stays under total as favourite 66% (102)
Fair odds · Loboda
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H38-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-32)