24 Jul · 09:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1655
FormWWWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Lievshin
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1542
FormLWLWL
62%
38%
🔥 Underdog lean · Derevianko
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+113
H2H11-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)