24 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OC
🇺🇦Ondrej Chadima
ELO 1563
FormLWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chadima
TB
🇺🇦Tadeas Bertho
ELO 1558
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
🌟Bertho covers set handicap as underdog 67% (69)
Fair odds · Chadima
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H16-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.