24 Jul · 08:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Zhyrnov
ELO 1577
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zhyrnov
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1542
FormLWLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Zhyrnov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H8-36
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.