24 Jul · 07:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1638
FormLLWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Dobias
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1527
FormWLLLW
62%
38%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pisa🌟Dobias rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (137)
Fair odds · Dobias
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H14-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-8)