24 Jul · 07:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
YK
🇺🇦Yurii Kurishchenko
ELO 1525
FormLLLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Riadynskyi
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1649
FormWWWWW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Riadynskyi
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+124
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+124)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)