24 Jul · 12:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TH
🇺🇦Tomas Hucko
ELO 1533
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Svitac
MS
🇺🇦Matej Svitac
ELO 1540
FormWLWWL
49%
51%
🌟Svitac rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (47)
Fair odds · Svitac
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.