24 Jul · 12:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
FS
🇺🇦Frantisek Schmidtmayer
ELO 1545
FormLWWWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Schmidtmayer
JB
🇺🇦Jan Blazek
ELO 1414
FormWWWLL
64%
36%
🌟Blazek covers set handicap as underdog 64% (55)
Fair odds · Schmidtmayer
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
18%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+131
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+131)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)