24 Jul · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OC
🇺🇦Ondrej Chadima
ELO 1563
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kolman
LK
🇺🇦Leon Kolman
ELO 1577
FormLWLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Kolman
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H8-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.