24 Jul · 14:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1526
FormWLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Zeniuk
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1596
FormLWLLW
43%
57%
🌟Kozachuk stays under total as underdog 66% (109)
Fair odds · Zeniuk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H41-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-15)