24 Jul · 07:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TL
🇺🇦Tomas Liska
ELO 1493
FormLWWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Heinzl
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1604
FormLWLWL
38%
62%
🔥 Underdog lean · Liska🌟Heinzl rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (120)
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H18-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-12)