24 Jul · 16:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MM
🇺🇦Martin Melisek
ELO 1592
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Melisek
DB
🇺🇦David Brichacek
ELO 1590
FormWWWLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Brichacek🌟Melisek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (15)
Fair odds · Melisek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.