24 Jul · 11:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FS
🇺🇦Frantisek Schmidtmayer
ELO 1545
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Schmidtmayer
AD
🇺🇦Adam Dvoracek
ELO 1466
FormLWLWL
58%
42%
🌟Dvoracek covers set handicap as underdog 63% (52)
Fair odds · Schmidtmayer
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)