24 Jul · 15:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1537
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kozachuk
VP
🇺🇦Volodymyr Plishylo
ELO 1516
FormWLLWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Plishylo🌟Plishylo covers set handicap as underdog 70% (90)
Fair odds · Kozachuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H45-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.