24 Jul · 14:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
NH
🇺🇦Nikita Hoshko
ELO 1584
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Hoshko
VP
🇺🇦Volodymyr Plishylo
ELO 1516
FormWLLWW
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Plishylo🌟Plishylo covers set handicap as underdog 70% (90)
Fair odds · Hoshko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 71% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)