24 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tiutiunnyk
ELO 1523
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Droshchynskyi
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Droshchynskyi
ELO 1534
FormLLLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Droshchynskyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.