24 Jul · 14:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Priadko
ELO 1412
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Miroshnychenko
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1455
FormLWLLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Miroshnychenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H18-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-2)