24 Jul · 15:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Valeriy Melnik
ELO 1618
FormWLWWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Melnik
EP
🇺🇦Evgeniy Pismenniy
ELO 1458
FormWLLLW
66%
34%
🌟Pismenniy covers set handicap as underdog 62% (100)
Fair odds · Melnik
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+160
H2H95-56
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+160)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (95-56)