24 Jul · 08:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1655
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Lievshin
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1649
FormWWWWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Riadynskyi🌟Riadynskyi covers set handicap as underdog 68% (34)
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H13-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.