24 Jul · 16:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
NH
🇺🇦Nikita Hoshko
ELO 1584
FormWLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Hoshko
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kravets
ELO 1531
FormLLLWL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kravets🌟Kravets covers set handicap as underdog 69% (62)
Fair odds · Hoshko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)