24 Jul · 16:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MD
🇺🇦Maksym Denysenko
ELO 1495
FormLLLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Tsys
DT
🇺🇦Dmytro Tsys
ELO 1596
FormWWLLW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Tsys
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)