24 Jul · 11:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1542
FormLWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Riadynskyi
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1649
FormWWWWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Riadynskyi
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H62-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (62-27)