24 Jul · 09:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1527
FormWLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Heinzl
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1604
FormLWLWL
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pisa🌟Heinzl rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (120)
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H34-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-19)