24 Jul · 17:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
EO
🇺🇦Evzen Ondracek
ELO 1478
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Ondracek
FK
🇺🇦Filip Kubos
ELO 1433
FormWLWLL
55%
45%
🌟Ondracek stays under total as favourite 65% (20)
Fair odds · Ondracek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H7-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-5)