24 Jul · 17:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1537
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Rak
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1586
FormLWLLW
45%
55%
🌟Kozachuk stays under total as underdog 66% (109)
Fair odds · Rak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H66-57
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (66-57)