24 Jul · 12:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇺🇦Jakub Simek
ELO 1507
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Semrad
PS
🇺🇦Petr Semrad
ELO 1550
FormWLLWL
45%
55%
🌟Semrad rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (60)
Fair odds · Semrad
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)