24 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tiutiunnyk
ELO 1523
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Tiutiunnyk
RS
🇺🇦Ruslan Sopivnyk
ELO 1510
FormWLLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Tiutiunnyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H7-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.