24 Jul · 16:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AT
🇺🇦Alexander Tuzhylin
ELO 1704
FormWLWLW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Tuzhylin
EP
🇺🇦Evgeniy Pismenniy
ELO 1458
FormWLLLW
74%
26%
🌟Pismenniy covers set handicap as underdog 62% (100)
Fair odds · Tuzhylin
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 83% · 1.21· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~73 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
17%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+246
H2H139-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+246)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (139-6)