24 Jul · 19:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii S Marushchak
ELO 1578
FormLLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Yurkov
AY
🇺🇦Artem Yurkov
ELO 1664
FormWLWWW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Marushchak🌟Yurkov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (123)
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H74-46
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (74-46)